Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1987 |
FOR
1 - 0
UTR
47%
25%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
UTR
7 - 1
BVV
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
GAE
0 - 3
UTR
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1987 |
RJC
2 - 1
UTR
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
UTR
3 - 0
SPA
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1987 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZA
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1987 |
AJA
3 - 0
ZAR
81%
13%
7%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
FOR
1 - 3
AJA
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
AJA
4 - 0
BVV
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1987 |
ZAR
2 - 3
AJA
36%
27%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |