Austrian Bundesliga round 35

FC Kärnten vs Sturm Graz analysis

FC Kärnten Sturm Graz
75 ELO 77
-1.5% Tilt 2.4%
17330º General ELO ranking 536º
315º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.7%
FC Kärnten
25.4%
Draw
34.9%
Sturm Graz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
FC Kärnten
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.9%
Win probability
Sturm Graz
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

FC Kärnten
Sturm Graz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Kärnten
FC Kärnten
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2004
FCK
FC Kärnten
5 - 1
Mattersburg
MAT
49%
25%
26%
74 72 2 0
05 May. 2004
RAP
Rapid Wien
3 - 2
FC Kärnten
FCK
56%
24%
20%
74 80 6 0
01 May. 2004
SWB
SW Bregenz
1 - 1
FC Kärnten
FCK
58%
22%
20%
74 77 3 0
24 Apr. 2004
FCK
FC Kärnten
0 - 1
Rapid Wien
RAP
39%
27%
34%
74 80 6 0
20 Apr. 2004
RIE
SV Ried
2 - 1
FC Kärnten
FCK
44%
25%
31%
75 70 5 -1

Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2004
STR
Sturm Graz
0 - 2
Grazer AK
GRA
43%
25%
32%
78 82 4 0
05 May. 2004
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 2
Austria Wien
AUS
52%
25%
23%
79 82 3 -1
01 May. 2004
MAT
Mattersburg
2 - 2
Sturm Graz
STR
32%
26%
42%
79 72 7 0
24 Apr. 2004
STR
Sturm Graz
2 - 0
Admira Wacker
AWM
60%
22%
18%
78 72 6 +1
17 Apr. 2004
RBS
Salzburg
0 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
46%
25%
30%
78 78 0 0