SPL Round 3

Falkirk vs Motherwell analysis

Falkirk Motherwell
72 ELO 83
17.7% Tilt 2.7%
437º General ELO ranking 633º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
45.6%
Falkirk
23.5%
Draw
30.9%
Motherwell

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.9%
Win probability
Motherwell
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkirk
-1%
+6%
Motherwell

ELO progression

Falkirk
Motherwell
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 1928
AIR
Airdrieonians
2 - 3
Falkirk
FAL
66%
19%
16%
72 76 4 0
13 Oct. 1928
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
47%
22%
31%
72 77 5 0
06 Oct. 1928
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
6 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
70%
17%
14%
73 79 6 -1
29 Sep. 1928
TLA
Third Lanark
5 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
58%
21%
21%
74 71 3 -1
22 Sep. 1928
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 3
Dundee
DUN
45%
23%
32%
74 83 9 0

Matches

Motherwell
Motherwell
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 1928
MHE
Motherwell
4 - 3
Hamilton Academical
HAM
80%
12%
8%
83 66 17 0
13 Oct. 1928
MHE
Motherwell
3 - 3
Celtic
CEL
59%
21%
20%
83 83 0 0
06 Oct. 1928
MHE
Motherwell
1 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
65%
19%
17%
83 77 6 0
29 Sep. 1928
GLA
Rangers
0 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
59%
21%
20%
83 83 0 0
22 Sep. 1928
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
47%
23%
30%
83 73 10 0