Falkirk vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ALL
3 - 0
FAL
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
HAM
3 - 1
FAL
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
FAL
1 - 1
LIV
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
RAI
2 - 4
FAL
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FAL
1 - 0
QOS
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DUM
0 - 1
DUN
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
DUM
5 - 1
CWB
65%
19%
15%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ABE
1 - 0
DUM
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
QOS
3 - 1
DUM
50%
24%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
DUM
3 - 3
RAI
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |