Exeter City vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
EXE
0 - 0
NEW
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
EXE
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
EXE
0 - 0
SOU
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
EXE
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 4
EXE
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
OLD
1 - 2
GRI
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
GRI
0 - 3
MOR
21%
26%
53%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
GRI
2 - 1
BOL
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
GRI
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
GRI
1 - 1
CHE
14%
26%
60%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |