Estoril vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
18º
13º
37
7º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 68 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 63 |
5º
|
96% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 52 |
6º
|
93.5% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
35% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
79% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 25 |
17º
|
55.5% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
FAM
1 - 1
EST
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
EST
4 - 0
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
FCP
14%
21%
66%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SPB
3 - 1
EST
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MAF
57%
22%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
FAR
0 - 0
ESA
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
SLB
1 - 1
FAR
77%
15%
9%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 2
VIT
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BOA
1 - 3
FAR
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 0
ARO
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |