La Equidad vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
EQU
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
EQU
4 - 1
PAT
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
TFC
0 - 3
EQU
25%
30%
45%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
EQU
3 - 0
COR
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ONC
0 - 0
EQU
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
JUN
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
JUN
41%
28%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 1
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 2
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
AGU
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |