Empoli vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 3
EMP
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EMP
4 - 2
MOD
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 3
EMP
30%
29%
42%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
EMP
0 - 3
ASC
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 2
EMP
63%
23%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 0
SPE
22%
27%
50%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEO
72%
19%
9%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 2
PAD
19%
26%
55%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
LEO
45%
29%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 4
JUS
26%
30%
44%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |