Elgin City vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
47.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
EDI
2 - 0
ELG
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ELG
1 - 1
FOR
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ELG
3 - 0
ALB
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
HIB
1 - 2
ELG
4%
9%
87%
|
51 | 8 | 43 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CWB
3 - 1
ELG
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 3
ARB
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
GLA
5 - 0
DUN
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 3
PAR
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
DUN
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
DUN
4 - 1
STE
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |