Eibar vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
CDB
1 - 1
EIB
43%
30%
26%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
EIB
1 - 1
TER
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
UDL
0 - 1
EIB
68%
21%
11%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
ALM
2 - 1
EIB
39%
31%
30%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
EIB
0 - 0
ZAR
22%
27%
52%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
NUM
0 - 0
ALM
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ZAR
1 - 0
NUM
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
NUM
1 - 3
GET
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
OVI
1 - 1
NUM
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
NUM
2 - 2
COM
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |