Derry City vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
BRW
1 - 2
DER
38%
26%
37%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 4
DER
16%
20%
64%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
DER
0 - 0
SHR
30%
29%
41%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
DRO
2 - 2
DER
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
UCD
0 - 2
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
DUN
3 - 1
UCD
57%
23%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
STP
3 - 2
DUN
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 0
BOH
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
DUN
3 - 2
GAL
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
SHR
3 - 1
DUN
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |