Derry City vs Bohemian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
DER
1 - 0
WAT
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SLR
0 - 2
DER
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
FIN
1 - 2
DER
18%
22%
61%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
DER
2 - 1
STP
57%
23%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
DER
5 - 1
BRW
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
SHR
1 - 2
BOH
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
BOH
0 - 0
LIM
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
BOH
2 - 2
UCD
38%
25%
38%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
DUN
3 - 0
BOH
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
BOH
5 - 1
CAB
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |