Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 0
CCP
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CUC
2 - 1
TOL
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAL
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
IND
2 - 1
TOL
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
CUC
0 - 0
TOL
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ONC
2 - 0
MIL
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
PAS
3 - 2
ONC
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ONC
1 - 0
QUI
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ONC
1 - 1
PER
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CUC
4 - 1
ONC
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |