Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 0
DEF
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
BOS
1 - 2
DEF
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 0
DEF
66%
20%
15%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 0
PRO
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 1
CCP
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
PEÑ
3 - 4
TOR
81%
14%
5%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ATE
1 - 2
PEÑ
15%
22%
63%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
BOS
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
PEÑ
6 - 0
RIV
65%
20%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
STR
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |