DC United vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
VAN
2 - 1
DCU
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
COC
2 - 1
DCU
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
PHU
3 - 2
DCU
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
DCU
4 - 1
RSL
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
DCU
2 - 2
CHI
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
CFS
1 - 2
DAL
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
SES
2 - 0
CFS
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HOD
1 - 1
CFS
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
RSL
0 - 3
CFS
53%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CFS
3 - 2
NER
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |