Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 1-5
Cruzeiro vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
27%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
55.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRZ
28%
29%
43%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 1
CRZ
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 0
VIL
62%
24%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SPO
53%
27%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
CRZ
71%
18%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
CEA
55%
25%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
FLU
4 - 0
COR
52%
26%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLU
30%
27%
43%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
CRZ
71%
18%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 0
AVA
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |