Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 0-4
Crusaders vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 4
LIN
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 1
COL
59%
22%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIN
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CLI
1 - 1
CRU
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
CRU
0 - 1
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
VKG
1 - 4
RBK
25%
25%
49%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
MFK
4 - 3
RBK
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
RBK
3 - 3
STR
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
RBK
4 - 0
KVI
89%
9%
2%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
VIF
0 - 0
RBK
38%
25%
38%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |