Chievo vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
VER
3 - 2
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
VNZ
0 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CHI
3 - 0
TOR
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAR
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 2
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
PRG
1 - 1
BRE
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2001 |
ACM
3 - 0
PRG
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
PAR
2 - 1
PRG
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
PRG
1 - 0
PIA
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
PRG
6 - 3
MOD
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |