Chemnitzer vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
UNT
1 - 1
CHE
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 3
OSN
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CHE
5 - 0
UNT
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SVS
1 - 1
CHE
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 2
ERF
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 1
MUN
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
HEI
2 - 2
SSV
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
MSV
0 - 1
HEI
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
HEI
0 - 0
OFC
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SAA
1 - 2
HEI
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |