Chelsea vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CHL
1 - 2
CRY
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
STO
1 - 2
CHL
16%
22%
62%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
CHL
1 - 0
MUD
66%
19%
14%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
WHU
1 - 2
CHL
22%
24%
55%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CHL
3 - 1
SWA
82%
12%
5%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 2
MAC
45%
24%
31%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
MAC
34%
24%
42%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MID
0 - 2
MAC
11%
19%
70%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 0
STO
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |