Chapecoense vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
ATM
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
CEA
3 - 1
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
FLU
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
SCI
32%
29%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
ATP
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 1
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SCI
2 - 1
VIT
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 4
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 0
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
VAS
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |