Challans vs Nantes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
10º
8º
49
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 51 |
2º
|
52% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 44 |
5º
|
88% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
76.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 30 |
10º
|
76.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
11º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 24 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 22 |
13º
|
53.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 60.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
LAV
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
SAB
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 0
NIO
50%
24%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SNA
2 - 1
CHA
27%
24%
50%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
FON
45%
25%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 1
SNA
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 0
SPG
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 3
NAN
10%
17%
74%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
NAN
5 - 0
USS
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LAV
3 - 1
NAN
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -3 |