Cruz Azul vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 0
CAZ
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
CAZ
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAZ
1 - 1
QRO
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TIJ
1 - 0
CAZ
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
CAZ
1 - 1
ALE
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ATS
1 - 2
CHI
39%
29%
31%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PUE
1 - 1
ATS
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
ATS
1 - 1
ZAC
51%
24%
26%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ATS
3 - 1
MOR
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
PUE
1 - 0
ATS
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |