Cruz Azul vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TIG
2 - 0
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PAC
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 0
CAZ
31%
29%
40%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 1
CAZ
38%
28%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
CAF
88%
9%
4%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ATS
0 - 0
QRO
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
ATS
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 0
CAZ
31%
29%
40%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
ATS
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
ATS
41%
25%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |