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Serie B - Ecuador. Matchday 26

Colón FC vs América Quito analysis

Colón FC América Quito
22 ELO 22
-9% Tilt -67%
23798º General ELO ranking 6032º
120º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
59.8%
Colón FC
30.1%
Draw
10.2%
América Quito

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
Colón FC
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.2%
+4
2.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
25.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
31.3%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
20.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
<0%
0
30.1%
10.2%
Win probability
América Quito
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.2%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Colón FC
-23%
-36%
América Quito

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Técnico Universitario
79
79
100%
Aucas
78
78
100%
Santa Rita
70
70
50%
CD Olmedo
70
70
50%
Mushuc Runa
63
63
50%
LDU de Portoviejo
63
63
50%
Gualaceo
62
62
100%
LDU Loja
56
56
100%
América Quito
52
52
100%
Manta
10º
47
47
10º
50%
Imbabura
11º
47
47
11º
50%
Colón FC
12º
33
33
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Colón FC
América Quito
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

América Quito
AME
Colón FC
COL
Aucas
AUC
Manta
MAN
CD Olmedo
OLM
Imbabura
IMB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Colón FC
Colón FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO COL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2017
COL
Colón FC
0 - 0
América Quito
AME
44%
27%
28%
287 286 1 0
05 Aug. 2017
LOJ
LDU Loja
2 - 2
Colón FC
COL
47%
27%
26%
287 330 43 0
29 Jul. 2017
COL
Colón FC
0 - 3
Santa Rita
SSR
46%
27%
27%
289 312 -23 -3
23 Jul. 2017
GUA
Gualaceo
1 - 0
Colón FC
COL
44%
27%
28%
291 290 -1 -1
15 Jul. 2017
COL
Colón FC
1 - 0
Gualaceo
GUA
44%
27%
28%
289 291 -2 +1

Matches

América Quito
América Quito
1%
X%
2%
ELO AME ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2017
COL
Colón FC
0 - 0
América Quito
AME
44%
27%
28%
286 287 1 0
06 Aug. 2017
AME
América Quito
2 - 0
CD Olmedo
OLM
45%
27%
28%
284 343 -59 +2
29 Jul. 2017
TEC
Técnico Universitario
3 - 1
América Quito
AME
49%
26%
25%
286 386 100 -2
21 Jul. 2017
AME
América Quito
1 - 2
Aucas
AUC
41%
28%
31%
287 431 -144 -1
16 Jul. 2017
AUC
Aucas
2 - 0
América Quito
AME
47%
27%
26%
289 429 140 -2