Carlisle United vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
YEO
3 - 1
CUM
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CUM
0 - 1
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
CUM
4 - 2
MAC
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
WAL
2 - 2
CUM
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
LEE
1 - 1
CUM
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SOU
2 - 1
BRO
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
SOU
1 - 3
SOU
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
MKD
2 - 0
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
STO
0 - 2
SOU
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
BRE
2 - 1
SOU
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |