Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 2
CUM
35%
26%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
CUM
2 - 0
CRA
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 2
CAM
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 1
LEY
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
STE
3 - 1
CUM
39%
27%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SCU
0 - 0
CRA
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
SCU
2 - 0
BRA
38%
27%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SCU
1 - 1
SOU
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
SCU
1 - 1
OLD
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LEY
1 - 1
SCU
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |