Canada vs Cuba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
PAN
2 - 0
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 0
PAN
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 0
TTO
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 0
HND
31%
27%
43%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
CUB
0 - 1
CAN
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
HND
1 - 0
CUB
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
CUB
0 - 3
HND
21%
27%
52%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
PAN
1 - 0
CUB
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
CUB
0 - 1
CAN
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 0
CUB
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -2 |