Vélez Sarsfield vs CA Huracán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
RIV
0 - 1
VEL
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
VEL
1 - 0
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
VEL
1 - 0
COL
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
EST
1 - 2
VEL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
NOB
2 - 0
VEL
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CA Huracán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
HUR
1 - 1
NOB
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
RAC
1 - 0
HUR
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
OLI
2 - 0
HUR
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
HUR
0 - 0
GLP
35%
26%
40%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
LAN
2 - 0
HUR
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |