Bury vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
BCF
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2010 |
BCF
1 - 0
ROC
36%
26%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BCF
1 - 0
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
BCF
2 - 1
BRA
58%
23%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BOU
1 - 2
BCF
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
MAC
0 - 1
STF
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 2
MOR
34%
26%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
POR
0 - 0
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
MAC
0 - 2
NOR
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
MAC
4 - 1
CRE
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |