Burnley vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ARS
0 - 0
BUR
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 2
HUR
62%
22%
15%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
LEE
3 - 1
BUR
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
MUD
3 - 1
BUR
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 0
WHU
21%
24%
56%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 3
NOR
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 1
WAT
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
LEI
4 - 1
WAT
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 1
TOT
18%
21%
61%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 4
WHU
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |