Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
BHA
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 2
MAC
9%
18%
73%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
BUR
3 - 2
ASV
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FUL
0 - 3
BUR
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
BOU
3 - 2
BIR
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
BOU
1 - 2
SHW
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
REA
3 - 1
BOU
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
BOU
2 - 1
CRA
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
BOU
17%
23%
60%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |