Brentford vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BBU
1 - 0
BRE
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
ASV
2 - 2
BRE
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 0
SHW
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 4
BRE
20%
21%
59%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
STO
1 - 1
BRE
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 1
CHE
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 1
CHE
49%
26%
26%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 1
CUM
31%
26%
44%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 2
COL
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 0
CHE
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |