Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
CSA
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
BOT
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 2
GOI
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 1
BOT
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 3
CRZ
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
VAS
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
VAS
4 - 1
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 2
VAS
32%
28%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 1
NAU
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
COT
1 - 1
VAS
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |