Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
MID
1 - 1
BOL
55%
23%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 1
NEW
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
BOL
3 - 4
TOT
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
TOT
1 - 2
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 0
CRY
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
ASV
3 - 0
OPA
54%
25%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
EVE
1 - 1
ASV
42%
26%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
BUR
3 - 1
ASV
23%
25%
52%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
ASV
2 - 0
FUL
50%
26%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
3 - 1
ASV
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |