Serie A Round 11

Bologna vs Atalanta analysis

Bologna Atalanta
75 ELO 85
5.4% Tilt -20.9%
23º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.6%
Bologna
24.6%
Draw
52.8%
Atalanta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
Bologna
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.8%
Win probability
Atalanta
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bologna
+1%
-5%
Atalanta

ELO progression

Bologna
Atalanta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bologna
Bologna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2018
SAS
Sassuolo
2 - 2
Bologna
BOL
62%
23%
16%
76 80 4 0
21 Oct. 2018
BOL
Bologna
2 - 2
Torino
TOR
23%
25%
52%
76 85 9 0
06 Oct. 2018
CAG
Cagliari
2 - 0
Bologna
BOL
57%
24%
19%
77 76 1 -1
30 Sep. 2018
BOL
Bologna
2 - 1
Udinese
UDI
44%
26%
30%
76 78 2 +1
26 Sep. 2018
JUV
Juventus
2 - 0
Bologna
BOL
84%
13%
3%
75 91 16 +1

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2018
ATL
Atalanta
3 - 0
Parma
PAR
75%
16%
8%
85 72 13 0
21 Oct. 2018
CHI
Chievo
1 - 5
Atalanta
ATL
20%
25%
56%
85 75 10 0
07 Oct. 2018
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
60%
22%
18%
86 82 4 -1
30 Sep. 2018
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
48%
25%
28%
86 86 0 0
26 Sep. 2018
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 0
Torino
TOR
54%
23%
23%
86 84 2 0