Boa EC vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
66.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BOA
1 - 1
ATM
12%
21%
68%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
BOA
3 - 0
URT
65%
22%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BOA
1 - 3
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
BOA
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
BOA
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CRZ
2 - 1
UBE
82%
15%
4%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
TOM
2 - 0
CRZ
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PAT
1 - 1
CRZ
6%
17%
77%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 2
CRZ
6%
16%
78%
|
81 | 32 | 49 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CRZ
1 - 1
AMF
59%
26%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |