Os Belenenses vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 1
NAC
37%
27%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SCP
0 - 0
BEL
75%
17%
9%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 0
BEL
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 1
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 4
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
UDL
3 - 1
ORI
74%
17%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
NAV
2 - 0
ORI
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
FCP
6 - 0
ORI
85%
10%
5%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | +4 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
ORI
0 - 2
BEL
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
OLH
2 - 0
ORI
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |