B. Leverkusen vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 1
BVB
34%
23%
43%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
HÄC
0 - 2
LEV
16%
20%
64%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 3
LEV
16%
21%
64%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LEV
4 - 0
FCU
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
QAR
0 - 1
LEV
9%
16%
75%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 0
HAN
48%
24%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ELV
4 - 1
PAD
31%
24%
46%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 3
FCN
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
KSC
0 - 3
PAD
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 3
PAD
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |