Bastia vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
FCG
1 - 4
BAS
21%
27%
52%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
BAS
5 - 0
GAP
72%
18%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
PFC
1 - 2
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 0
COL
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
SOC
0 - 2
BAS
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
PLA
1 - 2
NIO
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
GUI
3 - 1
PLA
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
PLA
0 - 0
CAN
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
STR
0 - 0
PLA
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
PLA
2 - 0
BAY
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |