Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda. Final
Global 2-1
Basel vs Molde FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAS
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
MFK
0 - 1
BAS
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
GCZ
2 - 2
BAS
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 0
FLO
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 2
FCL
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MFK
2 - 1
SOG
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
MFK
0 - 1
BAS
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LSK
1 - 1
MFK
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 1
MFK
36%
26%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
MFK
1 - 2
VKG
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |