Barnechea vs San Luis de Quillota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
PUE
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 3
PAL
16%
22%
62%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
EVE
2 - 3
BAR
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 2
CON
47%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
USF
2 - 1
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
San Luis de Quillota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 3
EVE
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |