Barcelona SC vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BSC
2 - 0
RIV
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CLA
1 - 1
BSC
34%
27%
40%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
BSC
3 - 2
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
DEL
1 - 0
BSC
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
BSC
1 - 1
MAC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 5
NAC
34%
29%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
JAG
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
EQU
0 - 2
NAC
29%
28%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |