Austria Wien vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LAS
2 - 2
AUS
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
WIE
3 - 1
AUS
5%
12%
83%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 3
RBS
41%
24%
36%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
AUS
0 - 1
VIL
18%
23%
58%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RAP
1 - 2
AUS
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 0
LPO
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
LPO
1 - 3
SLA
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GÓR
1 - 2
LPO
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
HBS
1 - 1
LPO
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LPO
1 - 0
RAD
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |