Copa do Brasil . Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
Atl. Mineiro vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
IFC
2 - 3
ATM
26%
24%
50%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 2
ATM
40%
25%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DEM
0 - 0
ATM
13%
18%
69%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 0
SPO
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 0
SPO
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 3
SAN
33%
25%
43%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 2
SAN
11%
20%
69%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
8 - 1
GUA
87%
10%
4%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 3
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |