Mancha Real vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
21%
69.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
MAN
71%
20%
9%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
GRA
4%
13%
83%
|
38 | 84 | 46 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 2
HER
19%
25%
56%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ELD
0 - 1
MAN
59%
25%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 1
INT
20%
25%
55%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
OSA
1 - 3
ATH
36%
27%
36%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
ATH
1 - 2
RMA
15%
21%
65%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ATH
3 - 2
BET
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ATH
0 - 1
SEV
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
GET
0 - 0
ATH
29%
29%
42%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |