Athletic vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1960 |
BET
1 - 0
ATH
32%
23%
45%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
ATH
1 - 3
RMA
49%
22%
29%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
RSO
1 - 3
ATH
30%
24%
46%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
ATH
3 - 0
GRA
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
VAD
2 - 2
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1960 |
VCF
4 - 0
ZAR
71%
17%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
ESP
0 - 2
VCF
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
VCF
1 - 0
UDL
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
VCF
1 - 2
BET
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
RMA
2 - 1
VCF
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |