Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 3-2
Athletic vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
RMA
3 - 2
ATH
81%
13%
7%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ATH
0 - 1
FCB
20%
24%
56%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SEV
4 - 0
ATH
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ATH
0 - 1
GET
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
REC
1 - 1
ATH
43%
27%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
REC
1 - 1
VCF
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
VAD
1 - 1
REC
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
REC
0 - 4
MAL
58%
24%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 0
REC
45%
26%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
REC
1 - 1
ATH
43%
27%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |