Athletic vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
GET
1 - 0
ATH
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
ATH
3 - 2
LEV
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
GIR
1 - 2
ATH
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ATH
3 - 3
EIB
46%
27%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ATH
2 - 0
ATM
24%
27%
50%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
RAY
2 - 0
VCF
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
EIB
2 - 1
RAY
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
RAY
1 - 1
BET
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 1
RAY
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
FCB
3 - 1
RAY
94%
5%
1%
|
77 | 94 | 17 | 0 |