Atalanta vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1951 |
ATL
1 - 0
ACM
19%
21%
60%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
UNI
2 - 2
ATL
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
FIO
0 - 1
ATL
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
ATL
0 - 2
LAZ
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAM
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
PAD
0 - 0
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
NOV
2 - 2
LAZ
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
INT
3 - 1
NOV
84%
10%
6%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
COM
2 - 2
NOV
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
NOV
4 - 1
UDI
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |